Sunday, February 10, 2008

US Elections Trigger Recession? (Sort of as per (c) NBER data)

US Recessions since 1945

Duration of recession/Election in

1. Feb. 1945-Oct. 1945

8 months/Nov 1944

2. Nov. 1948-Oct. 1949

11 months/Nov1948

3. July 1953-May 1954

10 months/Nov1952

4. Aug. 1957-April 1958

8 months/Nov1956

5. April 1960-Feb. 1961

10 months/Nov1960

6. Dec. 1969-Nov. 1970

11 months/Nov1968

7. Nov. 1973-March 1975

16 months/Nov1972

8. Jan. 1980-July 1980

6months/No election

9. July 1981-Nov. 1982

16 months/Nov1980

10. July 1990-March 1991

8months/No election

11. March 2001-Nov. 2001

8 months/Nov 2000

Source: NBER

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